SIEGE

CS Intelligence Trading PAPER

Correct Score trading with intelligence filters. Combines Bryn's discipline with data-driven filtering. Skips dangerous fixtures (low-odds favourites, high-goal averages, 0-0 history). Uses Scout for H2H recon and PGR for post-goal crash opportunities.

Rules

▪ L1 lay AOH/AOA at 1% bank liability
▪ Skip home odds < 1.40 (blowout risk)
▪ Skip combined goals avg >= 2.5 (too many goals)
▪ Skip teams with 0-0 history > 15% (no goals = no hedge)
▪ Scout: BLOCK verdict = skip, REDUCE = half stake
▪ PGR: Post-goal price crash > 15% = scalp opportunity

Edge

Intelligence filters reduce AOH rate from 10.7% to 8.5%. Scout eliminates known blowout pairings. PGR turns goals from threats into profit opportunities.

Trades

Wins

Losses

Win Rate

P&L

+£0.00

ROI

0.0%

Trades

All →

No trades recorded yet.

Decision Journal

Full journal →

Closed: unresolved_no_data | P 90' trade_closed 31/03 01:24

Libertad v Deportivo Recoleta

Closed: l1_window_missed | PnL 90' trade_closed 31/03 00:33

Cerro Largo FC v Danubio

Closed: l1_window_missed | PnL 90' trade_closed 31/03 00:33

Cerro Largo FC v Danubio

Closed: l1_window_missed | PnL 90' trade_closed 31/03 00:30

Libertad v Deportivo Recoleta

LAY AOH @ 13.0 £2.61 l1_entry 31/03 00:28

RELAXED tier — Libertad v Deportivo Recoleta

Closed: l1_window_missed | PnL 90' trade_closed 28/03 20:05

Albacete v CD Castellon

Closed: l1_window_missed | PnL 90' trade_closed 28/03 20:05

Albacete v CD Castellon

Closed: l1_window_missed | PnL 90' trade_closed 28/03 17:32

Malaga v Leganes

Closed: l1_window_missed | PnL 90' trade_closed 28/03 17:32

Malaga v Leganes

Closed: settled_ft | PnL £+2.0 90' trade_closed 28/03 15:51

Swindon v Fleetwood Town

Closed: settled_ft | PnL £-347 90' trade_closed 28/03 15:27

Wycombe v Port Vale

Closed: settled_ft | PnL £+3.9 90' trade_closed 28/03 15:27

Wycombe v Port Vale

HOLD 25' hold_signal 28/03 15:25

F1: inplay HIGH (+10); F_ev: p_goal_ht=55.9% → +3.0 (goal likely)

HOLD 25' hold_signal 28/03 15:25

F1: inplay HIGH (+10); F_ev: p_goal_ht=55.9% → +3.0 (goal likely)

Closed: hard_stop_50 | PnL £+0 90' trade_closed 28/03 15:21

Swindon v Fleetwood Town

ride_better: hedge locked £0.6 17' g1_settle_compare 28/03 15:21

trigger=COMBINED FT=0-0 entry=15.5

HEDGE l1_aoh @ 23.0 locked £0. 17' g1_hedge 28/03 15:21

entry=15.5 stake=£2.04 green_stake=£1.37 score=0-0

HOLD 20' hold_signal 28/03 15:20

F1: inplay HIGH (+10); F3: stats drought — 0-0 FT risk elevated (-8); F_ev: p_goal_ht=61.3% → +5.6 (goal likely)

HOLD 20' hold_signal 28/03 15:20

F1: inplay HIGH (+10); F_ev: p_goal_ht=62.7% → +6.4 (goal likely)

HOLD 20' hold_signal 28/03 15:20

F1: inplay HIGH (+10); F3: stats drought — 0-0 FT risk elevated (-8); F_ev: p_goal_ht=61.3% → +5.6 (goal likely)